Good Thursday afternoon ya'll. I hope you have had a great couple of weeks! Hopefully you have been able to enjoy the sunshine & perfect Fall weather we have had this week because it looks like we will have a different story starting tomorrow and into your weekend.
Hurricane Delta looks to make landfall tomorrow evening as it will affect parts of Texas, Louisiana, & Mississippi. After making landfall, Delta will continue to move across parts of the South & will enter the Western/Southwestern part of the Bluegrass late Saturday night into Sunday morning. This system looks to bring chances of showers and possible storms throughout your weekend.
Let's take a look at your forecast to end the week and take you into your weekend:
Tonight - Mostly cloudy; Lows in the mid 50s
Friday - Mostly cloudy; Highs around 80
Friday Night - Cloudy, 60% Showers; Lows in the low 60s; Rain totals could average from 1/10" to 1/4".
Saturday - Mostly Cloudy; 70% Showers; Highs in the low 70s; Rain totals could average between 1/2" to 3/4".
Saturday Night - Mostly Cloudy; 70% Showers & possible storms; Lows in the low 60s; Rain totals could average between 3/4" to 1".
Sunday - Mostly Cloudy; 70% Showers & possible storms; Highs in the mid 70s
Sunday Night - Mostly Cloudy; 30% Showers & possible storms; Lows in the low to mid 60s.
Monday - Partly Sunny; 20% Showers; Highs in the upper 70s.
Monday Night - Partly Cloudy; 20% Showers; Lows in the mid 50s.
Tuesday - Mostly Sunny; 20% Showers; Highs around 70.
Again if you have any outdoor weekend plans, be sure to stay updated with the latest weather forecasts & outlooks here on our blogs and also on air at 98.7 The Buck!
Also if you all have any local photos you would like to submit to be used for some of our awesome graphics, I am still receiving those. I have received numerous beautiful photos so thank you!
- Send the name of the person who captured the photo.
- The location the photo was taken.
- Prefer landscape mode (more wide than it is tall)
- No watermarks please.
- Looking for the following themes of photos: Fall, Rain, Storms, Landscapes, Sunshine, etc.
- Also please no individuals to be within the photo if necessary.
Email them to email@example.com
I am looking forward to more of these awesome local photos!
Good Thursday afternoon, I have you find yourself doing well today! I want to start off by saying Thank you to everyone who comes across these blogs of mine and for sharing them out. I know they may be simple in regards to weather information but I enjoy being able to get these shared out!
So since my last post, it does seem that our forecast for the weekend has changed, so I will go over that below & be sure to read to the bottom because I am looking for some local photos to use! B
Let's take a look at that updated forecast!
Tonight - Clouds will continue to hang around tonight as we will see mostly cloudy skies & around a 40% chance of rain. Lows will be in the upper 50s.
Friday - Finally Friday looks to have a 30% chance of rain, which we should see in the early to mid morning hours. Otherwise, we will continue to see mostly cloudy skies with highs in the low 70s.
Friday Night - No rain chances tonight, but we will see mostly cloudy skies and lows in the upper 50s to around 60.
Saturday - We will see a break from the clouds as it looks to be partly-mostly sunny with his in the upper 70s, some areas will see 80.
Saturday Night - It will be mostly clear with lows around 60.
Sunday - Another beautiful day for the weekend, as it will be mostly sunny with highs around 81.
Sunday Night - A small rain chance of around 30% (can't rule out seeing a scattered storm) will return to the forecast along with mostly cloudy skies. Lows will be around the upper 50s.
Monday - Rain chances will continue, currently showing around a 30% chance of rain with partly sunny skies. Highs around the mid 70s.
Monday Night - It will be partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers, lows in the low 50s.
**Forecast is subject to change, the above forecast is as of 9/24/2020 at 3:00 PM**
Now as I mentioned before the forecast, I am looking for local photos! Whether you are located in Casey, Lincoln, Boyle, Adair, Taylor, Green, Russell, Pulaski, or any part of South Central/Southern Kentucky, I want you to send me your photos!
So what I am looking for are themed photos. Each week I will share a new theme of photo I am looking for here within my blog. If you have a photo you would like to submit, then email it at firstname.lastname@example.org.
The purpose of getting local photos is because I would love to use them as our forecast background! We share these forecasts each and every morning on our Facebook page & I feel like it would be more personable to our listeners & followers.
So this weeks theme of photos is a choice. I am looking for either a rainy day photograph, OR a fall day photo. Please keep in mind that I want LOCAL photos, nothing searched for and found on the internet. I prefer 1-2 photo submissions per person.
I will need the following information:
-Location of where photo was taken (City/County format or you can give your road name along with the city/county)
-Date photo was taken
I will give credit on our forecast graphics, therefore why the above listed information is very important to be submitted.
I can't wait to see all these awesome photos!
Good Monday evening! It has been awhile since my last blog & I apologize for that! A lot has happened in the last couple of weeks in my hometown, including another flooding event, you can see a couple of photos below.
Last Sunday, flooding took over numerous parts of Casey County, including having numerous swift water rescues which was assisted by neighboring rescue teams (thank you to all who helped!). Thanks to all of our law enforcement, dispatchers, county road crews, state road crews, electric crews, fire fighters, & everyone else who helped making sure folks were safe before, during, & after the flooding. So thankful it wasn't worse than what it was.
Photo Credit: Pam West - Liberty, KY
Since then, we have dealt with a cold front that pushed in behind the rain therefore making it feel more like Fall (which I'm personally enjoying). Our high temperatures across the area averaged in the upper 60s to mid 70s, while low temperatures averaged a bit cooler in the mid 40s to low 50s. It looks like Fall will continue to hang around for the rest of this week as well along with rain chances making their way back, take a look below:
Tuesday - Mostly Sunny; Highs in the low to mid 70s.
Tuesday Night - Mostly Cloudy; Lows in the low 50s.
Wednesday - Mostly Cloudy; Highs in the mid 70s.
Wednesday Night - 20% Showers, Mostly Cloudy; Lows in the mid 50s.
Thursday - 30% Showers (After 1-2 PM), Mostly Cloudy; Highs in the mid 70s.
Thursday Night - 40% Showers/possible storm, Mostly Cloudy; Lows i the mid to upper 50s.
Friday - 30% Showers, Partly Sunny; Highs in the mid 70s.
Friday Night - 30% Showers, Partly Cloudy; Lows warming up to the low 60s.
Saturday - 40% Showers, Partly Sunny; Highs in the upper 70s, around 80 in some places.
Saturday Night - 40% Showers, Mostly Cloudy; Lows in the low 60s.
So nothing to dramatic in regards to the change in weather from now until the weekend. Remember the forecast is always subject to change & when it does, I will pass along the most up to date weather information.
Don't forget I am still adding to my list of WEATHER FOLKLORE tales, so if you have some you want to share to be in my blog, you can email them to me at email@example.com
Have a great rest of the week!
It's been a beautiful week so far across The Buck listening area. Labor Day weekend even had some beautiful weather as well.
I hope everyone has been well since my last blog which was last month! Things have been busy and the weather world has been calm.
Taking a look at the forecast for our local area for the remainder of the week into the beginning of next week, looks to remain calm. We will see the chance for showers & storms this weekend though.
Tonight - Mostly Clear; Lows in the mid 60s.
Thursday - Patchy morning fog to start off with then by afternoon it will be sunny; Highs around the upper 80s.
Thursday Night - Mostly Clear; Lows in the mid to upper 60s.
Friday - Partly Sunny; Highs in the mid 80s.
Friday Night - Partly Cloudy; Lows in the mid to upper 60s.
Saturday - 50% Showers/Storms (Afternoon), otherwise Mostly Sunny; Highs in the mid to upper 80s.
Saturday Night - 50% Showers/Storms (Early AM), otherwise Mostly Cloudy; Lows in the upper 60s to low 70s.
Sunday - 70% Showers/Storms (Morning into Afternoon), otherwise Partly Sunny; Highs in the mid 80s.
Sunday Night - 20% Showers, Partly Cloudy; Lows in the low 60s.
Monday - Mostly Sunny; Highs in the low 80s.
I know in a few of my blogs I have mentioned about weather folklore. You know, those weather sayings that maybe your parents, aunts, uncles, grandparents, or even great-grandparents would tell you to predict their own weather? So in this blog I would LOVE to receive some of your alls weather folklore and share in future blogs. If you have one or two or five you want to submit to me, do so my emailing me at firstname.lastname@example.org.
I know in the month of August, I have always heard however many fogs there are, will be how many snows we get in the winter months. I have also heard about seeing a "Sun dog" that it will rain the same time when you see that, the next day. (Ex: If you see one at 4:00 PM on a Sunday, then it's supposed to rain/weather at 4:00 PM on Monday).
I hope to have some awesome weather tales to share in my next blog. So start sending them my way!
Another late blog going up on this Thursday.
If you hadn't heard, Hurricane Laura made landfall early this morning in SouthWestern Louisiana around 1:00 AM Central time. Sustained winds of around 150 mph remained during landfall, making Hurricane Laura remain a CAT 4 hurricane.
With that being said, a lot of damage was left behind, including a damaged radar from one of the National Weather Service sites. This system continues to move Northeast, having a path straight for Kentucky & our local area.
The system is expected to enter Western KY sometime Friday afternoon & by Friday night into early Saturday morning it will arrive locally here in South-Central Kentucky.
The NWS out of Louisville has a HWO issued for our area, please see below:
Friday through Wednesday.....
Showers and storms are expected Friday into Saturday as the remnants of Hurricane Laura move through the region. 1 to 3" of rainfall with locally higher amounts will be possible through Saturday, leading to the potential for localized flooding issues. Additionally, some of the stronger storms embedded within the rain bands of Laura may be capable of severe wind gusts and isolated, brief, spin up tornadoes. The main severe threat will occur Friday evening and into the overnight hours.
Spotter Information Statement....
Spotters are encouraged to pass along any flooding and severe weather reports Friday and Saturday.
Below are some images to basically sum up everything that was talked about over a webinar/conference call held earlier this afternoon with NWS Louisville:
If there are any dramatic changes, I will definitely be posting another blog to reflect those changes. That does include having any type of Watch or Warning issued as well.
Information I used in tonights blog comes from NWS Louisville's website.
Have a great night!
Good Wednesday evening, I know this is a later than usual blog, but I wanted to update everyone on Hurricane Laura before landfall is made. As of 11:00 tonight, Hurricane Laura is a CAT 4 Hurricane and possibly headed to be a CAT 5.
To put this storm in perspective, here are words from the National Weather Service:
"Unsurvivable Storm Surge that could penetrate 40 miles inland, large destructive waves, max sustained winds currently (as of around 10:30 PM) at 150 MPH, and flooding that will potentially impact all the way to Ohio."
It looks like, as of right now, Western Kentucky is under a Moderate Risk (red) of experiencing Flash Flooding through Friday morning, and then here is South Central Kentucky extending up North, we are in the Slight Risk (yellow) of experiencing Flash Flooding. NWS Louisville forecasts that we could see a total of around 2-3" of rain this weekend, that is subject to change as well.
I will be posting another blog later tomorrow afternoon (Thursday) to give an update as Hurricane Laura will make landfall overnight down in parts of Louisiana & parts of Texas.
I hope you continue to follow these updates as this system continues to move inland.
Also keep everyone in these areas in your prayers as they have had to pack up and move away from their homes, knowing it will not be the same when they return. Also prayers for travel & safety for everyone as well.
email@example.com (ATTN Crystal in the subject line).
Good Wednesday afternoon. In today's blog, I will be discussing more of Hurricane Laura down in the Gulf & the effects that will have on our weekend weather here in Kentucky.
So as of this afternoon, Hurricane Laura has been deemed a Category 4 Hurricane. This means this is a very dangerous and strong storm, as it moves inland to make landfall. As of 2:00 PM today from the NOAA National Hurricane Center, they state the following:
"Catastrophic storm surge, extreme winds, and flash flooding are all expected along the NorthWest Gulf Coast tonight." They also state "Little time remains to protect life & property." Water levels have began to rise along the coast of Louisiana. Winds of Hurricane Laura are expected to increase to 140+ mph, even possibly reaching around 190 mph in Port Arthur, TX & Lake Charles, LA.
Now you may ask, why am I talking about a hurricane that is hundreds of miles from us here in Kentucky? Well, it is pretty simple, the path of Hurricane Laura, after she makes landfall shows that the remnants will sweep all the way here in Kentucky & The Ohio Valley. See image I have attached below as it comes from the NOAA NHC website & includes key messages as well as the images of the path of Laura & the rainfall amounts:
The last few days of sunshine and warm temperatures have been amazing & I hope you have taken advantage of that because rain chances increase for us tomorrow into Saturday Night.
Tomorrow we are currently showing around a 50% chance of showers & storms with highs topping around the mid to upper 80s. Friday, rain & storm chances increase slightly to around 60% with highs in the mid to upper 80s as well. Rain chances will continue overnight into Saturday. By Saturday afternoon, rain/storm chances will be at 90% with high temps decreasing a bit to the low 80s. By Sunday rain chances will decrease dramatically down to 20% and high temps will continue to remain cooler as they hang around 80.
Locally here in South Central Kentucky, we could possibly see 2-3" of rain over the next few days.
All weather information provided above is current as of 3:40 PM EDT this afternoon. If there are any major changes with the forecast I will be sure to post a new blog.
If you have any questions be sure to let me know! I am hoping to get some weather folklore in the next blog.
firstname.lastname@example.org (Put in ATTN Crystal in the subject line)
Monday August 24, 2020
3:43 PM EDT
Good Monday afternoon ya'll! I hope you are having a great day! It is a beautiful start to the week, sunshine & high temperatures in the mid to upper 80s. Be sure to enjoy it because by Thursday/Friday, it could be a different story.
Today I want to talk about a couple of things, one of which is our end of the week forecast because if you haven't seen already, there have been 2 Tropical Storms, Marco & Laura, that are affecting parts of the Gulf. Marco has lost quite a bit of strength as that storm heads towards the Louisiana coastline this afternoon. Laura on the other hand, looks to be a Category 2 Hurricane by the time landfall is made Wednesday night into early Thursday morning. Now with that being said, the path of Laura shows that the remnants are likely to affect our end of the week forecast here in Kentucky, bringing some rain. Currently, the forecast shows around a 60% chance of showers & storms for Friday into Saturday, I will be sure to keep watching & updating if there are any major changes.
Another thing I would like to talk about are cold air funnels. Sunday afternoon, from Horse Cave to Campbellsville, there were multiple reports of funnels spotted and photographed. With the weather conditions at hand, these funnels were not your "regular" funnels. Instead these were what we like to call "cold air" funnels. Even though it can look threatening, a cold air funnel is a weak circulation that occurs in a cool air mass. It develops well above the earth's surface therefore these types are weak and rarely impact the earth's surface.
Information from the NWS:
"It is usually not necessary for the National Weather Service to issue Tornado Warnings for cold air funnels since it is so rare for them to make it all the way to the ground and become a tornado. They are also difficult to detect on radar since they are very weak. Spotter and public reports are essential when cold air funnels are in the area. The NWS will usually issue a Special Weather Statement when cold air funnels have been reported. Of course, a Tornado Warning will still be issued if it is felt that a funnel will touch down."
Below, are a few examples of cold air funnels that were photographed here in Kentucky.
The first photo was near Smiths Grove back on Oct. 25, 2008 (Jason Berry/WBKO).
The second photo was in Hillview, KY on April 17, 2003 (Mark Simpson).
The last photo was in Lexington, KY on May 5 2007 (Alan Creech via Chris Bailey at WKYT).
**All 3 photos are from the NWS website***
I hope you enjoyed this blog a little more than my previous ones. If you have questions of a certain type of weather/weather phenomenon that you want to know more about, feel free to email me and let me know! Sometime soon, I am thinking of doing a blog about some weather folklore, so if you have any old weather tales/folklore you want to share, I would love to see those!
Send me your comments/questions to: email@example.com!
Thanks for taking time out to read my blog! Have a great day!
Well it has been a few days since my last blog, so I figured why not share one today.
Today has had more Fall-like weather, which I'm not complaining about. It has given us a break from the higher temperatures, but that won't last long.
We don't have any Special Weather Statements (SWS) or Hazardous Weather Outlooks (HWO) issued for our local area, which is a good thing.
We can expect to see more rain chances back in the forecast from tomorrow into next week, let's take a look at the forecast as it shows as of 3:05 PM this afternoon:
Tonight - Partly Sunny; Lows around 60
Thursday - 20% Showers; Partly Sunny; Highs in the low to mid 80s;
Thursday Night - 20% Showers; Mostly Cloudy; Lows in the mid 60s;
Friday - 80% Showers/Storms; Highs around 82; Best chance of showers/storms will be around mid morning to late afternoon;
Friday Night - 80% Showers/Storms; Lows around the low to mid 60s; Best chance of showers/storms will be in the evening hours;
Saturday - 60% Showers/storms; Partly Sunny; Highs in the low 80s;
Saturday Night - 60% Showers/storms; Mostly Cloudy; Lows in the low to mid 60s;
Sunday - 20% Showers; Mostly Sunny; Highs in the mid 80s;
Sunday Night - Partly Cloudy; Lows in the mid 60s;
I'm still working on getting some more informational weather facts for ya'll so just be patient with me and I hope to have those included in my next couple of blogs.
As long as it isn't an active week/weekend in the weather world, then blogs will sparse.
Thank you again to all of those who have followed, shared, & listen in on 98.7.
It is Finally Friday! I hope you have had a wonderful week! I know around majority of the local area (South-Central KY), it has been an overcast day with cooler temperatures along with some scattered showers. That chance of scattered showers & storms will continue into your weekend, so if you have any outdoor plans, you may want to stay updated with the latest weather forecast.
We do have a Flash Flood Watch that remains in effect until 10 PM EDT tonight, due to the possibility of localized rainfall amount of around 2-3" being expected therefore causing flash flooding. A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Be sure to monitor local media for your latest forecasts and weather updates.
Let's take a look at that weekend forecast into next week:
Tonight - 40% showers/storms; Some storms could produce heavy rainfall; Lows around the upper 60s.
Saturday - 40% showers/storms; AM Fog; Cloudy gradually becoming mostly sunny; Highs around the low 80s;
Saturday Night - 40% showers/storms; Lows around the mid 60s;
Sunday - 40% showers/storms; Mostly Sunny; Highs around the mid 80s;
Sunday Night - 30% showers/storms; Partly Cloudy; Lows around the low 60s;
Monday - Sunny; Highs around the low to mid 80s;
Monday Night - Mostly Clear; Lows around the low 60s;
Tuesday - 20% showers; Sunny; Highs around the low to mid 80s;
Tuesday Night - 20% showers; Partly Cloudy; Lows around the low 60s;
**Forecast is as of 3:50 PM EDT this afternoon (Friday Aug. 14, 2020)
**Forecast is always subject to change.
There has been an update within our Saturday forecast as the shower/storm chance had been around 70-80% chance and it is not around 40%.
I hope everyone has a wonderful weekend, if there are any MAJOR changes in the forecast I will do my best to post an updated blog.
Email me at firstname.lastname@example.org
Good Tuesday afternoon ya'll! I apologize for not having a blog up yesterday as promised, but I have you covered now!
Another short & sweet blog for you today, just going to take a look at the extended forecast into the weekend because it looks like rain/storm chances are back and are increasing for a couple of days, so if you have plans be sure to stay weather aware.
Basically from the HWO (Hazardous Weather Outlook), as of today, for today into tonight parts of our area could possibly see some isolated showers/storms later this afternoon. Main threats with these storms would be torrential rainfall, gusty winds & C to G (Cloud to Ground) lightning.
For tomorrow into the weekend it looks like the chance for scattered to numerous storms for the afternoon and evening, can be expected due to continued heat & humidity. Main threats with these storms will be gusty winds & heavy rainfall.
Looks like those warm temps will continue into the weekend, lets take a look at that forecast!
Today - Rest of the afternoon: Partly Sunny; Highs around 85; Can't rule out a pop up shower.
Tonight - Mostly Cloudy with a chance of a shower in the evening; Lows around 70.
Wednesday - 30% Showers/storms late afternoon; Partly Sunny; Highs around the upper 80s to 90.
Wednesday Night - 30% Showers/storms; Mostly Cloudy; Lows around the upper 60s.
Thursday - 50% Showers/storms; Partly Sunny; Highs around the upper 80s to 90.
Thursday Night -30% Showers/storms before early morning; Lows around the upper 60s.
Friday - 60% Showers/storms; Partly Sunny; Highs in the upper 80s.
Friday Night -60% Showers/storms between evening & early morning hours; Partly Cloudy; Lows in the upper 60s.
Saturday - 60% Showers/storms; Mostly Sunny; Highs in the upper 80s.
Saturday Night - 60% Showers/storms between evening & early morning hours; Partly Cloudy; Lows in the upper 60s.
Sunday - 50% Showers/storms; Mostly Sunny; Highs in the mid to upper 80s.
Sunday Night - 30% Showers/storms; Partly Cloudy; Lows in the mid 60s.
I will be back Friday with a little more detailed blog & also with an updated forecast for your weekend, as rain/storm chances continue to change.
Thank you all for continuing to follow these blogs!
Thanks for joining me for another blog on this beautiful Thursday afternoon, this will be short & sweet as we look at your forecast for the weekend and into next week. If you have any weekend plans, it looks like the weather will be in your favor. Let's have a look below:
Today / Tonight - We will continue to see partly to mostly sunny skies for the remainder of the afternoon across the local area. Today's highs will top around 84. Tonight it will be partly cloudy with lows around the lower 60s.
Friday / Friday Night - For your end of the week it looks like another beautiful day once we get over the morning fog. By afternoon we will see mostly sunny skies and highs around the mid 80s. It'll be partly cloudy by Friday night with lows around the low 60s.
Saturday / Saturday Night - To kick off your weekend on Saturday it will be sunny and warmer. Highs will be around the upper 80s. Saturday night it'll be mostly clear with lows around the mid 60s.
Sunday / Sunday Night - Rain chances move back into the forecast on Sunday, only about a 20-30% chance and that is more for the latter part of the afternoon. Highs will be in the upper 80s to low 90s. That slight chance of rain will continue into Sunday night with mostly clear skies and lows in the upper 60s.
Monday / Monday Night - Rain chances continue into the new week with a 30% chance in the afternoon with mostly sunny skies and highs around the low 90s. Monday night we will continue to see that 30% chance of showers. Otherwise it will be partly cloudy with lows around the upper 60s to low 70s.
Tuesday / Tuesday Night - Rain/storm chance increases to 50% with partly sunny skies, highs around the upper 80s to low 90s. For Tuesday night it will be partly cloudy along witha 30% chance of showers and lows around the upper 60s to low 70s.
My next blog will be on Monday since the weather will be calm throughout the weekend. If there are any major changes I will post one over the weekend.
As always, I appreciate you taking time out of your day to stop and read my blogs & I hope you continue to enjoy them!
If you have any questions, comments, or feedback feel free to shoot me an email @ email@example.com
Have a great weekend!
It's another beautiful day across The Buck listening area on this Tuesday!
This will be short and sweet blog today since yesterday's was a lengthy one. Let's take a look at the forecast for the remainder of the week into the weekend:
Today / Tonight - For the rest of the afternoon we will continue to see partly cloudy to partly sunny conditions with a 20-30% chance of seeing a scattered shower or storm. Todays high temp will top around 80. For tonight, that small chance of showers will continue into the evening, and overnight we will see partly cloudy skies with lows around 60.
Wednesday / Wednesday Night - Looking into midweek, we should expect partly sunny skies with highs in the low 80s. By night, it will be partly cloudy and lows in the low 60s.
Thursday / Thursday Night - The forecast has changed slightly for Thursday, there is a slight chance, , 20-30%, of seeing a shower otherwise it will be mostly sunny and highs around the mid 80s. Thursday night that slight chance of showers will remain for the evening and overnight it will be mostly clear and lows around the low to mid 60s.
Friday / Friday Night - It's going to be a beautiful end to the week as we will see mostly sunny skies on Friday with highs in the upper 80s. Friday night it will be another mostly clear night with lows in the mid 60s.
Saturday / Saturday Night - A beautiful start to the weekend on Saturday with sunny skies and highs around 90. Saturday night clouds will increase a bit and lows will be around the mid to upper 60s.
Sunday / Sunday Night - As of now, for Sunday, it looks like a slight chance of showers (30%) moves back into the forecast for later in the afternoon, otherwise it will be mostly sunny with highs around 90 yet again. Sunday night we will continue to have that slight chance of showers/storms with partly cloudy skies and lows around the upper 60s to low 70s.
So all and all, not a bad forecast this week into the weekend. As always the forecast is subject to change and when it does I will be sure to do my best to update!
I will be back on Thursday with a new blog.
Feel free to email me with any suggestions @ firstname.lastname@example.org
Have a great Tuesday!
Good Monday afternoon! I hope everyone had a wonderful weekend, & I just want to say thanks for all of you who have read and followed my blogs over the last week. The feedback has been great! If you have any feedback, see at the end for my email you can contact me at.
So far in my previous blogs, I have been able to share with you on how to better understand how the chance of precipitation is calculated. I have also been able to share a couple of definitions as well. Today I want to share something pretty basic, and that is differentiating between a WATCH and a WARNING.
Now there are multiple watches/warnings that can be issued from the NWS (National Weather Service), including: Severe Thunderstorm, Tornado, Flash Flood, Winter Storm, High Wind, Excessive Heat, and so on (you get the point).
To simply explain the difference between a watch and a warning, it's like this:
WATCH - Be prepared!
WARNING - Take Action!
For example: You have just made it home to your family from work, you hear your NOAA Weather Radio/Local media alert, and it states there is a Severe Thunderstorm Watch effective for your area. So you know you need to be prepared as the chance for a Severe Thunderstorm Warning could be likely. So you now know you definitely need to stay alert and monitor your local media/NOAA Weather Radio for additional updates. So you are BEING PREPARED!
Time goes by, and you notice its getting darker outside, winds are picking up, you can hear thunder and then all of a sudden your weather radio/local media alerts you that a Severe Thunderstorm Warning is now in effect for your area. Hopefully you already have a plan in place on what you and your family needs to do during severe weather. If you have a plan in place then you act on it, whether its finding a more substantial structure to move to (especially if you live in a mobile home), taking shelter in a more sturdier part of your home, etc. By doing so you are TAKING ACTION!
Hopefully that helps in the understanding the difference between a Watch and a Warning. Be on the lookout for my future blogs this week to share what types of alerts can be issued by the NWS, and also how they go from a watch to a warning (what indicates the severeness?).
Now lets take a look at our forecast for the first full week of August! It looks to be a better looking forecast compared to last weeks; (Forecast is as of 11:00 AM today (8/3/2020)
Today / Tonight - We will see plenty of sunshine today but we can't rule out a stray shower as there is only a 10% chance of rain. Looks like we will average in the mid to upper 80s for highs. Tonight we have a 20% chance of rain with partly cloudy skies. Tonights lows around the low 60s.
Tuesday / Tuesday Night - We will kick off Tuesday by seeing some areas of patchy morning fog. As the day goes on, rain chances increase to 40% with partly sunny skies. Highs will be around the upper 70s to low 80s. Tuesday night looks to be about the same, 30% showers, partly cloudy with lows around 60.
Wednesday / Wednesday Night - Wednesday will be the first day of this week that there is no chance of rain. We will see partly sunny skies with highs around the low to mid 80s. Wednesday night looks to be mostly clear with lows around 60.
Thursday / Thursday Night - Another day without a chance of rain, it will be beautiful as mostly sunny skies are forecasted with highs in the mid 80s. Thursday night will be clear with lows around the lower 60s.
Friday / Friday Night - To end the week on Friday, it looks like it will continue to be beautiful & warmer, as we should see sunny skies and highs around the upper 80s. Friday night an increase in clouds will make for partly cloudy skies and lows will be around the mid 60s.
Weekend weather as of today, looks to be warming up as temps on Saturday & Sunday will average in the upper 80s, possibly hitting 90. We will have the chance of showers re-enter the forecast for the weekend, currently around 20% on Saturday & 40% for Sunday. Other than that it looks to be mostly sunny.
Disclaimer: The forecast is subject to change, when it does I will be sure to update as soon as I can.
That's it for today's blog! Don't forget to email me and let me know what you would like to see in my blogs! Hopefully soon, I will be able to incorporate some local weather photos.
Thanks again & I hope you have a wonderful Monday!
I hope you have had a great Friday so far. This will be my last blog for the week, I don't think I will be doing any weekend blogs unless something major changes with our forecast.
With that being said, I do have an update in regards to the Flash Flood Watch that is in effect until Saturday, Aug. 1st at 8 AM EDT from NWS:
**Waves of showers and thunderstorms are expected tonight. Repeated heavy rainfall may result in flash flooding, especially in areas that has already seen rain from yesterday. Motorists should be prepared for rapidly reduced visibilities in heavy rainfall, and ponding/flooding of water on road surfaces. Keep in mind that areas that have already experienced recent heavy rains will flood more quickly with additional heavy rain.
Basically, it looks like July will end with some wet weather and the beginning of August looks to follow. Let's take a look at your forecast:
Tonight - As stated above, rain and storms will continue tonight as we have a 60% chance. Tonights lows will be around the upper 60s into the low 70s.
Sat. / Sat. Night - Showers & storms are likely, highs will be around the mid to uppers 80s, and the lows will average around the upper 60s.
Sun. / Sun. Night - Rain chances decrease down to around 20%, we will see partly sunny skies and highs will hang around the low to mid 80s. Same thing for Sunday night in regards to rain chances, very slim, lows will be in the low to mid 60s.
Mon. / Mon. Night - We should see some partly to mostly sunny skies with a slight chance of showers, highs around the mid 80s. Lows will be around the mid 60s.
Tues. / Tues. Night - Rain chances look to increase to around 40% in the latter part of the afternoon, otherwise it will be mostly sunny with highs around the low to mid 80s, and lows around the low 60s.
Be sure if you have any outdoor weekend plans, to keep that umbrella handy.
Have a great rest of your Friday evening and have a great and safe weekend, I will be back with a new blog on Monday!
Good Friday morning!
It looks like it will be a rainy end to the month of July & it looks like we will have a rainy beginning for the 1st of August tomorrow.
An update, the Flash Flood Watch that was supposed to expire this morning has been extended until tomorrow (Saturday) morning until 8 AM EDT.
Something I would like to talk about this morning, is the explanation of the chance of precipitation. It can be confusing and misunderstood by many so I just want to give you some clarification.
So for example, when you look at our forecast for today, it shows that we have a 40% chance of showers (mainly later on this afternoon) for most of our local area. So some may think, well it is going to rain 40% of the time this afternoon, which is a common thought. Here's what it actually means:
**To summarize, the Probability of Precipitation is simply a statistical probability of 0.01" inch or more of precipitation at a given area in the given forecast area in the time period specified. Using the 40% probability of rain as an example, it does not mean (1) that 40% of the area will be covered by precipitation at given time in the given forecast area or (2) that you will be seeing precipitation 40% of the time in the given forecast area for the given forecast time period.
**Let's look at an example of what the probability does mean. Above I mentioned today's forecast shows a 40% chance of rain for our local area, that means there is a 40% chance of rain at any point in the area from 1:00 PM EDT on into the latter part of the afternoon and into the evening.
**This point probability of precipitation is predetermined and arrived at by the forecaster by multiplying two factors:
Forecaster certainty that precipitation will form or move into the area
X Areal coverage of precipitation that is expected
(and then moving the decimal point two places to the left)
**Using this, here are two examples giving the same statistical result:
(1) If the forecaster was 80% certain that rain would develop but only expected to cover 50% of the forecast area, then the forecast would read "a 40% chance of rain" for any given location.
(2) If the forecaster expected a widespread area of precipitation with 100% coverage to approach, but they were only 40% certain that it would reach the forecast area, this would, also, result in a "40% chance of rain" at any given location in the forecast area.
I know this blog was rather lengthy and definitely more informative than my previous ones, but hopefully you have a better understanding of how "chance of precipitation / probability of precipiation" is calculated and what it means.
I'll post another update later on this afternoon with a look at the forecase to kick off the month of August! hope you enjoyed this one & I will catch you back later!
Source for info.: NWS
Since my blog post earlier, the NWS has issued a Flash Flood Watch to be in effect until Friday morning. See below for all the details:
A Flash Flood Watch is in effect locally for Boyle, Casey, Garrard, Green, Lincoln, Marion, Taylor, & Washington counties until Friday morning.
A low pressure system has brough widespread rain showers to the Lower Ohio Valley this morning, and as a semi-stationary front sets up near the Ohio River, additional storms and showers are expected to move along the front. This will likely result in training of showers and thunderstorms over the same areas. These areas will likely observe flooding conditions wih flash flooding possible due to the heavy rainfall rates expected.
A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash Flooding is a very dangerous situation.
You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take actions should flash flood warnings be issued.
As always we will have you up to date with the latest weather information here on 98.7 The Buck. Listen to us live online via our website, or via the Simple Radio app (its free!!). Also give us a like and follow on Facebook at Classic County 98.7 The Buck!
Good Thursday afternoon!
It looks to be a rainy day across The Buck listening area as we have an 80-90% chance of seeing showers and some storms. The greatest chance of seeing these will be around 3:00 PM EST or later this afternoon into the evening. Tonight, that chance of showers and storms still remains around a 60% chance.
The greatest threat with these storms that do develop, will be very heavy rainfall. Some locations hat receive multiple rounds of very heavy rain could experience localized flash flooding. So we can't rule out seeing some Flood Advisories issued from the NWS.
Taking a somewhat quick glance into Friday through next week, we still have rain chances each day/night, ranging anywhere from a 30-70% chance. These would be more scattered. Widespread rainfall totals, as of today, looks to be forecasted totaling anywhere from 2-4" by the end of the weekend on Sunday. Again localized flooding could become an issue for areas that received repeated showers/storms.
Here are a few meanings in regards to flood watches/warnings/advisories, so you can differentiate between them: (Source: NWS)
-Flood Advisory - BE AWARE! - means river or stream flows are elevated, or ponding or water in urban or other areas is occuring or is imminent.
-Flood Watch - BE PREPARED! - issued when conditions are favorable for a specific hazardous weather event to occur, such as flooding. It does NOT mean flooding will occur, but that it is possible.
-Flood Warning - TAKE ACTION! - issued when the hazardous weather event is imminent or already happening.
- Flash Flood Warning - TAKE ACTION! - issued when a flash flood is imminen or occuring. If you are in a flood prone area, immediately move to higher ground. A flash flood is a sudden violent flood ha can take from minutes to hours to develop. It is even possible to experience a flash flood in areas not immediately receiving rain.
Lets take a quick look at the forecast:
Today - 80% Showers/storms; Highs around the lowers 80s.
Tonight - 60% Showers/storms; Cloudy; Lows around the upper 60s - low 70s; New rainfall amounts between 1/2 - 3/4" expected.
Friday - 70% Showers/storms; Cloudy; Highs around the low to mid 80s; New rainfall amounts between 1/10 - 1/4' expected, with higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday Night - 60% Showers/storms; Mostly Cloudy; Lows around the upper 60s; New rainfall amounts between 1/10 - 1/4" expected, with higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday - 60% Showers/storms; Mostly Cloudy; Highs around the low 80s; New rainfall amounts between 1/10 - 1/4" expected, with higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday Night - 60% Showers/storms; Mostly Cloudy; Lows around the mid to uppers 60s; New rainfall amounts between 1/4 - 1/2" possible.
Sunday - 30% Showers/storm; Partly Sunny; Highs around the low to mid 80s.
Sunday Night - 30% Showers/storm; Partly Cloudy; Lows in the low to mid 60s.
Keep an eye out, as I could possibly be posting another blog if we do start seeing the increased chance of localized flooding issues over the next day or so.
Again feel free to send me an email & let me know what you think or maybe what else you would like to see within these blogs. I appreciate every single one of you!
Good Wednesday Afternoon!
I hope you are having a great day & I'm glad you have joined me for my first official weather blog from The Buck Weather Center here on 98.7 The Buck! This is something new we are doing and I hope you will continue to join me on this journey as I help keep you informed with not only your latest weather updates, but also some informative and fun weather information.
So I'll keep this first blog pretty simple as I share a couple of definitions so you can better understand as well as going over a look at your forecast for the remainder of the week and into the weekend.
Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) - a weather statement issued to provide information of potential severe weather events within the next seven days. The outlook may include information about potential severe thunderstorms, heavy rain or flooding, winter weather, extreme temperatures, and so on.
Let's take a look at the forecast:
Today/Tonight - For the rest of this afternoon into tonight, it looks as if we still have a chance of seeing some isolated showers and storms. The main threat with these storms will be cloud to ground lightning but keep in mind locally heavy rainfall cannot be ruled out. Today's high temps will top around 89-90 and tonights lows will be around the low 70s.
Thursday/Thursday Night - We will start off with some patchy morning fog and as the day goes on we will see some scatter showers and storms. Rain & storm chances will hang around 80-90% for our area. Thursday highs will be in the lower 80s and the lows will be in the upper 60s. Same story for Thursday night as we will continue to see the chance for showers & storms.
Friday/Friday Night - Rain & storm chances will continue to hang around with them being around 70-80%. Other than seeing that we will have mostly cloudy skies and highs will hang around the lower 80s. Friday night lows will be in the upper 60s, along with a 60% chance of more showers & storms for parts of the area.
Saturday/Saturday Night - I feel like I'm a broken record saying we will continue to see a 60% chance of seeing scattered showers & storms for Saturday. Saturday high temps will hang around the lower 80s yet again. Saturday night, yet again, 60% chance of showers & storms, low temps will continue to hang around the upper 60s.
Sunday/Sunday Night - It looks like we will end the weekend about like how we start it by having a 50% chance of showers and storms, other than that it will be partly sunny and highs will be in the low 80s. Sunday night rain chances decrease down to 30% and lows will be a bit cooler in the mid 60s.
Of course I will put my disclaimer, stating that the forecast is subject to change and when it does, I will do my best to update that here in my blog.
I hope this turns out to be a helpful, informative, & also a good thing! Be sure to let me know what you would like to see in my blogs by sending me an email at email@example.com! I'd love to get your feedback!
Also if you don't already listen in, you can catch me on 98.7 every Monday - Friday from 1 PM to 6 PM for your afternoon ride!