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Weather Archives for 2021-02

3:00 PM Update 2/17/2021 - Winter Storm Warning

A third winter storm will move in and affect parts of the region this evening into the overnight/early morning hours. A Winter Storm Warning will take effect at 7 PM EST / 6 PM CST this evening through 7 AM EST / 6 AM CST Friday morning, with a chance of this warning being cancelled prematurely once this system pushes through.

 

Snowfall amounts of 2-4" / 3-5" for our local area is what is in store to be received overnight tonight, Ice accumulations of 0.10" is also expected for the local area along with the snow.

 

This system will start off with snow this evening/oernight then will transition to sleet/freezing rain into the overnight early morning hours then to freezing drizzle by tomorrow mid-morning/afternoon.

 

Below are the most updated slides from the NWS conference call held at 2:30 PM this afternoon:

 

WARNINGS & ADVISORIES FOR THE STATE,

 

WINTER STORM TIMING

 

SUMMARY OF WHAT TO EXPECT

 

A LOOK AT END OF THE WEEK LOW TEMPS - BE CAUTIOUS OF INCREASED CHANCE OF FROSTBITE & HYPOTHERMIA IF HAVING TO BE OUTDOORS FOR AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF TIME,

 

Some positive news towards the end of the weekend on Sunday as we will not see sunshine but also high temps in the 40s, which in return will cause continuous melting. There is another system coming into the area Sunday night/Monday morning but this system will be mostly a rain system. There will be a slight chance of snow showers but it will be mostly rain, a cold rain at that.

 

By Tuesday we could see high temperatures around 50 degree.

 

I will keep you updated.

 

Stay safe, stay warm folks!

 

-Crystal

crystal@shorelinestations.com

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11:40 AM Tuesday February 16, 2021 - More Winter Weather

First off, I want to give a huge THANK YOU, to all of our line men & women, county road crew, state road crew, healthcare workers, essential workers, & anyone else who has to be out in this weather. For you guys and gals, we are truly thankful & appreciative! Prayers for your safety! A friendly little note, to help your mail carriers out, be safe while doing so, but try and knock off the ice on your mail box so they don't have to fight that battle. Also if you see any of these men & women out, pay it foward with a drink or meal, or even a Thank You, it goes a long way.

 

We have finally made it through this first winter system, now are you prepared for a second?

That’s what is on the table for late Wednesday night/early Thursday morning into late Thursday night/early Friday morning. Snow, sleet, freezing rain, & cold rain will all be on the table for this second system as it moves in late tomorrow night/early Thursday morning. Again just like with this winter storm from yesterday, uncertainty remains for which areas will receive what exact precipitation.

 

Expect a Winter Weather Advisory to be issued later on today for parts of the region.

 

Locally we are forecasted to receive 2-4” of additional snowfall on top of what we have already received this week. Below I have posted a couple of models with “predicted” snowfall totals, the NAM & GFS models. (These are just to show the difference, as we all have seen, from the start of the talk of the last storm until it got here, ALL forecasts from weather folks (including myself) even NWS was off. Winter weather stinks because of this.)

 

This is a look at the GFS Model through Friday at midnight.

 

This is a look at NAM model through Friday at midnight.

 

Also here is a look at a couple of updated briefing slides from the NWS:

 

 

 

As you can tell, there is quiet a bit of difference between the NAM & GFS models when it comes to snow totals. Again ideally, a range of 2-4" is more realistic for our area especially since we will be dealing with warmer temperatures.

 

Let's take a look at the detailed/extended forecast into this weekend:

 

Today - Flurries; Mostly Cloudy - Partly Sunny; Highs in the low 20s with wind chill values around 4.

Tonight - Mostly Cloudy; Lows around 10 with wind chill values around 0.

 

Wednesday - 30% Afternoon Snow Showers; Mostly Cloudy; Highs in the low 30s. 

Wednesday Night - 90% Snow/Freezing Rain; Mostly Cloudy; Lows in the mid to upper 20s. New snow totals of 2-4" possible.

 

Thursday - 90% Freezing Rain/Snow/Rain; Cloudy; Highs in the low to mid 30s.

Thursday Night - 50% Snow Showers; Cloudy; Lows in the mid to upper teens.

 

Friday - Mostly Cloudy & Cold; Highs in the mid 20s.

Friday Night - Mostly Cloudy; Lows in the single digits.

 

Saturday - Mostly Sunny; Highs in the low to mid 30s.

Saturday Night - Partly Cloudy; Lows around 20.

 

Sunday - Mostly Sunny; Highs in the low 40s.

 

Again, this forecast will change & I will provide updates the best that I can on-air, on our Facebook page ( https://www.facebook.com/Classic-Country-987-The-Buck-WKDO-610411902307145 ). If you have any questions, comments, or concerns, you're more than welcome to send me an email & I will answer and help out the best that I can.

 

-Crystal

crystal@shorelinestations.com

 

 

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6:30 PM Update - February 14, 2021 - Winter Storm Warning

Good evening, folks. Crystal here with another update in regards to our winter storm event that has already started to move into the state.

 

One thing I would like to reiterate is that this storm will have 2 waves. The first wave of this system will have widespread precipitation developing by midnight, some of which has already moved into our local region this evening. While the northern part of the state into southern Indiana will see snow with this first wave, south of the river & northwest of the Bluegrass/Western Parkways will see sleet/snow mix. Southeast of the Parkways will see more freezing rain. The areas seeing snow from this first wave will be an average of 1-3". Ice totals will possible up to 1/4". Precipitation is expected to decine by mid-morning tomorrow, which will allow a small break before this second wave makes it way in.

 

Moving on to the second wave, this will be a more significant wave and pack a punch so to speak. For our local region here in South Central Kentucky, we should see this arrive by tomorrow afternoon around Noon to 1 PM EST. This wave will continue to push it's way through the rest of the state as your afternoon/evening goes on. There will be more of a colder air with this wave compared to the first wave therefore the transition of snow/sleet/freezing rain will shift more towards the East as the days goes on into the evening and night hours.

 

I have attached within this blog, are the latest slides issued from NWS as of 5:27 PM EST (please pay attention to the date & time of these blogs and slides so you are not confused).

 

 

 

 

 

As you can tell with these updated slides, the snow accumulation has decreased a bit for some areas, I am still sticking with my previously mentioned total range of 4-8". Ice accumulations continue to change, areas could see up to 1/4" while others can possible see up to 1/2". If you notice, those areas with the higher snow totals will have a decreased ice total & those areas with a higher ice total have a decreased snow total. It's all about the movement of the warm air & cold air.

 

I will be sure to update with another blog if there are any other MAJOR changes with this system the closer it moves to our area. Until then I hope everyone has made their necessary preparations especially since power outages are bound to take place with this system. 

 

I will go ahead and say after this system there will be a small break Tuesday night into Wednesday before another system brings in more snow/sleet/freezing rain Thursday (I am monitoring).

 

Please be sure to check on the elderly, make sure outdoor pets/livestock are taken care of, & it doesn't hurt to have multiple emergency kits made up for home & for each vehicle (including filling up on fuel).

 

I will update when needed. Thanks for following & sharing!

 

-Crystal

crystal@shorelinestations.com

 

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12:45 PM UPDATE: Sunday February 14, 2021 - Winter Storm Warning

Good Sunday afternoon, here is an update from the 11:30 AM Conference Call held with the National Weather Service (NWS):

 

Updated NWS Briefing Slides Attached

 

•Winter Storm Warning effective from 7 PM tonight - 1 PM Tuesday. Snow accumulations still ranging from 4-7" with ice accumulations remaining up to 0.25".

 

•Locally we will have this system move into our area late tonight / early tomorrow morning.

 

•Most freezing rain will be overnight from Burkesville, Columbia, Jamestown, to Liberty. Total ice ranges showing 0.01 up to possible 0.25 for these areas all the way into the Eastern part of the state. Far east from Jackson to Pikeville shows ice totals ranging from 0.25 – 0.50.

 

•Uncertainty remains with some totals in exact locations.

 

•Adjustments to totals & forecasts are possible permitting how this system’s path pans out.

 

•After this system moves through and we get a break Wednesday, there will be another system that moves through the area Wednesday night into Thursday. Will update once updates are received.

 

You are more than welcome to send me any questions you may have to crystal@shorelinestations.com

 

Be Prepared folks!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Sunday February 14, 2021 - WINTER STORM WARNING

Happy Valentines Day folks. If you are looking for some Valentines plans to do with your sweetie, well you may want to go and start making preparations (if you haven't already), as that Winter Storm Watch has been upgraded to a Winter Storm WARNING.

 

As stated in my previous Facebook posts, accumulations I was expecting for our local area were between 4-8" other areas 3-6", well NWS has stated with this warning that snow accumulations have been updated for 4-7".

 

Let me give you the details below along with the most updated briefing slides:

 

A winter storm system will bring two waves of wintry precipitation to the region tonight through Tuesday. There could be significant accumulations of snow, sleet, & possible freezing rain. The heaviest precipitation is expected to occur onday afternon into Monday night.

 

Winter Storm Warning will take effect at 7 PM EST /6 PM CST this evening Sunday February 14, 2021 & go through Tuesday at 1 PM EST / 12 PM CST February 16, 2021.

 

What: Total Snow & sleet accumulations are forecasted at 3-7" and ice accumulations between a light glaze & 0.25".

 

Impacts: Travel could be very difficult to impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning/evening commute.

 

If you MUST travel, keep an emergency kit on hand and stocked with a flashlight, batteries, blanket, food, water, medication, & other items to  suit your needs.

 

 

 

 

 

 

You can stay updated here, on air on 98.7, on my personal Facebook page as well as The Buck's Facebook page (Classic Country 98.7 The Buck) for live video updates as they come in.

 

-Crystal

crystal@shorelinestations.com

 

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Friday February 12, 2021 - MORE WINTER WEATHER FORTHCOMING!

Good Friday afternoon folks! It has been a hectic week in the weather world & it looks like that will be the trend as we look into late Sunday night into Tuesday for another winter weather event and then again later in the week on Thursday.

 

Please keep in mind, our main goal is to focus here LOCALLY on our local areas such as Casey, Taylor, Boyle, Lincoln, Pulaski, Adair, Russell, & Marion counties plus others. DO NOT feed into the hype if you see fake sources mentioning out of the ordinary amounts of snow. ALWAYS read your articles in their entirety to fully understand what can happen and what is possible as totals show different with different models and are ALWAYS changing.

 

So since that has been mentioned, let’s get down on what to possibly expect for this second round of winter weather, keep in mind like the last event we had the forecast is definitely subject to change. Thanks to the long-term AFD, we are better able to explain this in simple terms. 

 

So the main focus is on a system that will actually come in two waves. The first wave will arrive late Sunday night/early Monday morning.  

 

The second wave, which has a possibility of being stronger will arrive Monday night into Tuesday morning. Now unlike our ice event we had Wednesday evening into early yesterday morning, this system will be more of a wintry mix due to the increase of moisture it has. Now which areas will get what kind of precipitation? That is still uncertain but I will continue to keep a close eye on the track of this system, as well as model trends. As of right now, to give an idea, for much of the state, we will see a mix of snow & sleet. However, we could see a mix of freezing rain & sleet south of the parkways. Preciptitation totals will be very SIGNIFICANT, so it would be a good idea to start preparing and taking necessary actions, rather be prepared than not be prepared.

 

After the first wave, we should be able to see a break Monday late morning/early afternoon before the second & stronger wave arrives for Monday night into Tuesday morning. Of course, different models (GFS, Canadian, European) are varying between snow/sleet & sleet/freezing rain. The area that all of these models are in agreeance with are for the Eastern/Southeastern parts of the state. Locally, we should be right there in the mix, still uncertain of accumulation totals but they are showing significant as mentioned above. 

 

Now after those 2 waves pass through (by Tuesday morning), there is another system that should arrive by Wednesday evening into Thursday. Uncertainty remains for this system since we are still a way out, but models and data will continued to be monitored, to provide you with the updates they show. 

 

Screenshots of those model images will also be shared to show you what to expect around what timeframe. 

 

Below is a look at the extended forecast from today into Tuesday night, don’t want to share too far out with these waves as there will more than likely be a change in high temperatures compared to what is currently showing: 

 

Today – Mostly Cloudy; Highs in the mid to upper 30s 

Tonight – 20% Rain; Mostly Cloudy; Lows in the upper 20s. 

 

Saturday – 30% Freezing Rain/Rain; Mostly Cloudy; Highs in the mid 30s. 

Saturday Night – Cloudy; Lows in the low to mid 20s. 

 

Sunday – 20% Sleet; Mostly Cloudy; Highs in the low 30s.  

Sunday Night – 60% Freezing Rain/Sleet; Mostly Cloudy; Lows in the mid teens. 

 

Monday – 60% AM Sleet/Freezing Rain > Snow/Freezing Rain; Cloudy; Highs in the mid 20s. 

Monday Night – 80% Snow Showers/Freezing Rain > All Snow; Lows in the mid to upper teens. 

 

Tuesday – 20% Snow; Mostly Cloudy; Highs in the upper 20s. 

Tuesday Night – Mostly Cloudy; Lows in the mid to upper teens. 

 

Again, this forecast is subject to change, & we will provide those latest changes when possible.  

 

On another note, if you have a new business or an existing business and would like to sponsor these weather blogs, let us know! A great thing with these blogs is that they reach thousands & thousands of people, which in return would mean those people would see your business as well. Whether its on our website, on-air mentions, & on social media. We will get you set up, just send us an email and let us know at thebuck@chasingthebuck.com.

 

We are working on more great things to expand our weather updates, to become live more and even take live looks at local areas.

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Monday February 8, 2021 - WINTER STORM WATCH

A Winter Storm Watch has been issued to take effect from late Tuesday night through Thursday.

 

A lot of people are questioning if this evening will be like 2009 & per NWS, this event will NOT be like the 2009 event or even the 2003 event that occurred in Lexington.

 

•Potential for ice accumulation ranges from 0.10 up to 0.75, with locally higher amounts possible. Snow & sleet accumulations of 1-2” will be possible North of I-64.

 

•TIMING: Waves of wintry precipitation will be possible late Tuesday – Thursday mainly across Southern Indiana & Central Kentucky. Area of freezing rain is likely, with SNOW to the NORTH and RAIN to the SOUTH. Majority of the chance of our precipitation locally will be from Wednesday night into Thursday.

 

•LOCAL AMOUNTS –

Ice amounts for the local area here in Casey, Taylor, & Lincoln (as of now) are forecasted at 0.10 up to 0.25, with locally higher amounts possible.

 

Counties such as Russell, Adair, & Pulaski are forecasted at showing ice accumulations of 0.01 to 0.10.

 

Counties north of our local area including Boyle, Washington, Jessamine, Fayette, & Hardin are forecasted at showing ice accumulations between 0.25 to 0.50.

 

If this line shifts South, there will be a sharp gradient, meaning that counties such as Green, Taylor, Casey, & Lincoln counties could see the northern parts receiving more accumulations (snow & ice) compared to the southern parts of the county (where they would not receive much accumulation).

 

•THREATS:

Snow Accumulations – Medium

Ice Accumulations – High

Winter Storm Timing – Medium/High

Winter Storm Impacts – High

 

•WHERE: As of right now, the main threat of counties to receive more ice will be north of Taylor & Casey counties. This line could be moved south depending on the trends of data/models. Bluegrass Parkway & North of I-64 is currently in the main line of this event.

 

•Possibility of Winter Storm Warning or even an Ice Storm Warning could be issued for parts of the state, more than likely will include Northern Kentucky, North Central Kentucky, & Central Kentucky.

 

•Just an informational fact, ¼” or more of ice, can damage trees & power lines.

 

•Another conference call will be held tomorrow, until then we will keep an eye on data & models for anymore updates in regards to this system pushing South as mentioned above.

 

***This forecast has been constantly changing and more than likely will continue to do so, I will keep a close eye on these models and the data trends & update as needed.

 

-Crystal

crystal@shorelinestations.com

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Sunday February 7, 2021

Good Sunday evening, I hope everyone is having a great weekend as it winds down. Just wanted to share another weather update with you guys because compared to my last blog, models & data has changed so I want to keep you all up to date with the latest weather trends and forecasts as we go into this new week,

 

First things first, the big weather story for this week is about ice. The latest data and model trends are now leaning towards no major ice accumulations locally here in South Central KY as they were last week. We do still have just a slight chance of seeing around 1/10" of ice depending how this system comes through this week, Now folks to our North in the Ohio River Valley vicinity could definitely see ice headed their way. More than likely for our local area, any precipitation that we see from mid week til Thursday will be rain, it will just be too warm for anything else.

 

The second weather story I am watching for the latter part of the week into this coming weekend will be below freezing temperatures - high temperatures & low temperatures both.

 

We will "enjoy" high temperatures this week ranging from the low to upper 40s, almost at 50 a few days then by Friday, those high temperatures will top in the low to mid 30s. Low temperatures this week will range from low to mid 30s through Wednesday night, by Thursday night lows will be in the mid 20s.

 

Let's take an extended and detailed look at your forecast for this week even into your week so you can see the trend I am talking about.:

 

Tonight - Mostly Clear; Lows in the low 20s.

 

Monday - Mostly Sunny; Highs in the upper 40s.

Monday Night - 20% Showers; Mostly Cloudy; Lows in the mid 30s.

 

Tuesday - Mostly Cloudy; Highs in the upper 40s.

Tuesday Night - 30% Showers; Mostly Cloudy; Lows in the mid 30s.

 

Wednesday - 50% Showers; Cloudy; Highs in the upper 40s.

Wednesday Night - 80% Showers; Cloudy; Lows in the mid 30s

 

Thursday - 90% Showers; Cloudy; Highs in the upper 30s to low 40s

Thursday Night - 50% Showers (possible freezing rain); Cloudy; Lows in the mid 20s.

 

Friday - AM Chance of possible freezing rain; Mostly Cloudy; Highs in the mid 30s

Friday Night - Mostly Cloudy; Lows in the mid teens.

 

Saturday - 20% Snow showers/freezing rain; Mostly Cloudy; Highs in the low 30s.

Saturday Night - 20% Snow showers/freezing rain; Mostly Cloudy; Lows in the low teens.

 

Sunday - Partly Sunny; Highs in the mid to upper 20s

 

So as you can see by the latter part of the week, we will be dealing with colder weather which will last numerous days in a row for high temps and low temps.

 

This forecast continues to change daily and I will continue to keep an eye on model and data trends as well as the forecast and update with any major changes that we can expect.

 

PLEASE do not believe the hype of those who are sharing/telling that this is going to be a major ice storm or that there are multiple inches of snow forecasted because that is not true!

 

I do my best to pass on the most reliable weather information that I can not only here but on-air & also to our Facebook page and even my personal Facebook page.

 

I will update you guys as needed!

 

-Crystal

crystal@shorelinestations.com

 

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Friday February 5, 2021

Good Friday evening everybody! Let’s get straight to the topic of this blog which is about the good ole Kentucky weather.

 

So short term it looks to be a calm weekend. As the saying goes “calm before the storm”. I think that is a good saying to use for what I am watching to unfold for our next week’s forecast.

 

Weekend looks calm for the most part but as we head into next week, especially Tuesday evening, I am keeping an eye on a system that will push through and deliver some arctic air to the region & we even have the chance to see a threat of freezing rain causing some icing issues. I will be watching models & forecast closely as these will be changing more frequently until this time comes. With multiple changes with the forecasts, that means things aren’t 100% set in stone when it comes to who will get what and where and how much. If there are major changes, I will be sure to post a blog to keep you guys updated.

 

I don’t want to get too far ahead of myself when it comes to the weather systems especially 6-7 days out due to all the data changing, but I will give you a heads up we could possibly continue to see this colder weather last & even have the chance of seeing some accumulating snowfall. How much? I have no idea as of right now but once data starts coming together better, I will give you another heads up.

 

Let’s go ahead and take a look at your weekend forecast & your extended forecast into the latter part of next week as well below:

 

Tonight – Increasing clouds; Lows in the upper 20s.

 

Saturday – Mostly Cloudy; Highs in the mid-40s.

Saturday Night – Mostly Cloudy; 50% Rain > Rain/Snow > Snow; Lows in the mid to upper 20s.

 

Sunday – AM Clouds > Afternoon Sunshine; Highs in the upper 30s.

Sunday Night – Partly Cloudy; Lows in the low 20s.

 

Monday – Mostly Sunny; Highs in the mid to upper 40s.

Monday Night – 30% Showers; Mostly Cloudy; Lows in the mid-30s.

 

Tuesday – 40% Showers; Mostly Cloudy; Highs in the low to mid 40s.

Tuesday Night – 30% Rain/Snow; Mostly Cloudy; Lows in the low to mid 20s.

 

Wednesday – Mostly Cloudy; Highs in the low to mid 30s.

Wednesday Night – Mostly Cloudy; Lows in the upper teens to low 20s.

 

Thursday – 20% Snow showers; Mostly Cloudy; Highs around 30.

Thursday Night – 30% Snow Showers; Mostly Cloudy; Lows in the low teens.

 

Friday – 20% Snow showers; Partly Sunny; Highs in the low 20s.

 

I usually don’t share the extended forecast as far out as I have done, but I just want you guys to see how cold it will be for the highs come Friday. **As always the forecast is subject to change and when it does I will do my best to update you all here & on-air on 98.7.**

 

That’s all for now, I hope you guys have a great weekend!

 

-Crystal

crystal@shorelinestations.com

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Tuesday February 2, 2021

Happy February! I hope everyone has been well & for those of you who wanted it, I hope you enjoyed the little bit of snow we received at the end of your weekend! I wanted to make this update today and give you guys a heads up about a plunge in high temperatures as we enter next week.

 

We will see a bit of a warm up as your week goes on into this weekend then by Sunday night high temperatures will be in the low 30s and Sunday night low temperatures could hit down in the single digits.

 

We also have another chance of seeing some flurries as well, lets take a look at your detailed forecast below:

 

Tonight: Increasing Clouds; Lows in the mid-20s.

 

Wednesday: Mostly Sunny; Highs in the upper 30s.

Wednesday Night: Increasing Clouds; Lows in the low to mid 20s.

 

Thursday: 30% Afternoon Showers; Mostly Cloudy; Highs in the mid to upper 40s.

Thursday Night: 100% Rain > Rain/Snow (Less than 1/2" possible); Cloudy & Breezy (wind gusts up to 29 mph); Lows in the upper 20s.

 

Friday: 60% AM Flurries; Mostly Sunny; Highs in the upper 30s.

Friday Night: Mostly Clear; Lows in the low to mid 20s.

 

Saturday: Mostly Sunny; Highs in the low to mid 40s.

Saturday Night: 40% Rain/Snow; Mostly Cloudy; Lows in the low 20s.

 

Sunday: 30% Snow Showers; Partly Sunny; Highs in the low to mid 30s.

Sunday Night: Partly Cloudy; Lows in the upper single digits.

 

Monday: Mostly Sunny; Highs in the low 30s.

 

**Keep in mind the forecast is subject to change & when it does, we will be sure to pass along the most up to date information.**

 

I will continue to keep an eye on the forecast & update if there are any major changes. Stay warm & stay safe until next time folks!

 

-Crystal

crystal@shorelinestations.com

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