A Winter Storm Watch has been issued to take effect from late Tuesday night through Thursday.

A lot of people are questioning if this evening will be like 2009 & per NWS, this event will NOT be like the 2009 event or even the 2003 event that occurred in Lexington.

•Potential for ice accumulation ranges from 0.10 up to 0.75, with locally higher amounts possible. Snow & sleet accumulations of 1-2” will be possible North of I-64.

•TIMING: Waves of wintry precipitation will be possible late Tuesday – Thursday mainly across Southern Indiana & Central Kentucky. Area of freezing rain is likely, with SNOW to the NORTH and RAIN to the SOUTH. Majority of the chance of our precipitation locally will be from Wednesday night into Thursday.

•LOCAL AMOUNTS –

Ice amounts for the local area here in Casey, Taylor, & Lincoln (as of now) are forecasted at 0.10 up to 0.25, with locally higher amounts possible.

Counties such as Russell, Adair, & Pulaski are forecasted at showing ice accumulations of 0.01 to 0.10.

Counties north of our local area including Boyle, Washington, Jessamine, Fayette, & Hardin are forecasted at showing ice accumulations between 0.25 to 0.50.

If this line shifts South, there will be a sharp gradient, meaning that counties such as Green, Taylor, Casey, & Lincoln counties could see the northern parts receiving more accumulations (snow & ice) compared to the southern parts of the county (where they would not receive much accumulation).

•THREATS:

Snow Accumulations – Medium

Ice Accumulations – High

Winter Storm Timing – Medium/High

Winter Storm Impacts – High

•WHERE: As of right now, the main threat of counties to receive more ice will be north of Taylor & Casey counties. This line could be moved south depending on the trends of data/models. Bluegrass Parkway & North of I-64 is currently in the main line of this event.

•Possibility of Winter Storm Warning or even an Ice Storm Warning could be issued for parts of the state, more than likely will include Northern Kentucky, North Central Kentucky, & Central Kentucky.

•Just an informational fact, ¼” or more of ice, can damage trees & power lines.

•Another conference call will be held tomorrow, until then we will keep an eye on data & models for anymore updates in regards to this system pushing South as mentioned above.

***This forecast has been constantly changing and more than likely will continue to do so, I will keep a close eye on these models and the data trends & update as needed.

-Crystal

crystal@shorelinestations.com