12:40 AM Weather Update:
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Flooding & Freezing Rain Potential

Model data shows some agreeance to an extent, as the latest updates come through tonight. Let’s take a look at timing, what to expect precipitation wise, & what questions are still left unanswered as of tonight.

TIMING:
Slight rain chances will make their way into the forecast Tuesday night, currently showing about 30-40% chance locally.

Rain chances increase Wednesday to 90-100% & will remain that way through Thursday. This will cause some flooding issues for some areas. Rain totals of 2.75”-3” are expected across the area.

Thursday will be the big day of change as this system pushes through with the arctic air behind it. Temperatures may start out fairly warm but will drop significantly as the day progresses. The transition of rain to freezing rain/sleet looks to take place throughout the afternoon into the evening. As the evening and night progresses precipitation will transition to all freezing rain, into the early morning hours on Friday.

PRECIPITATION:
Locally, we will definitely rain/freezing rain/ sleet. If we see snow it will be light. Our neighbors to our North on the other hand, has a better chance of snow compared to us.

UNCERTAINTIES:
Just a reminder, agreeance with models will get better the closer we get to this system, especially about 24-36 hours out.

As of tonight, questions that remain unanswered are:
1) How much precipitation will we get?
2)Which type of precipitation will remain fairly dominant for our local area?
3)How fast will this arctic air move?
4)How far South will this arctic air go?

Hopefully tomorrow I can have answers to the questions above.

FINAL THOUGHT:
This will be an impactful winter event, so prepare now if you can. If you need items, get them (do not be hoggish).
Always remember, rather be safe than sorry.

I’ll continue to monitor and keep updates posted as needed.

Contact me:

crystal@shorelinestations.com

-Crystal