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Weather

Tuesday August 11, 2020

Good Tuesday afternoon ya'll! I apologize for not having a blog up yesterday as promised, but I have you covered now!

 

Another short & sweet blog for you today, just going to take a look at the extended forecast into the weekend because it looks like rain/storm chances are back and are increasing for a couple of days, so if you have plans be sure to stay weather aware.

 

Basically from the HWO (Hazardous Weather Outlook), as of today, for today into tonight parts of our area could possibly see some isolated showers/storms later this afternoon. Main threats with these storms would be torrential rainfall, gusty winds & C to G (Cloud to Ground) lightning.

 

For tomorrow into the weekend it looks like the chance for scattered to numerous storms for the afternoon and evening, can be expected due to continued heat & humidity. Main threats with these storms will be gusty winds & heavy rainfall.

 

Looks like those warm temps will continue into the weekend, lets take a look at that forecast!

 

Today -  Rest of the afternoon: Partly Sunny; Highs around 85; Can't rule out a pop up shower.

Tonight - Mostly Cloudy with a chance of a shower in the evening; Lows around 70.

 

Wednesday - 30% Showers/storms late afternoon; Partly Sunny; Highs around the upper 80s to 90.

Wednesday Night - 30% Showers/storms; Mostly Cloudy; Lows around the upper 60s.

 

Thursday -  50% Showers/storms; Partly Sunny; Highs around the upper 80s to 90.

Thursday Night -30% Showers/storms before early morning; Lows around the upper 60s.

 

Friday - 60% Showers/storms; Partly Sunny; Highs in the upper 80s.

Friday Night -60% Showers/storms between evening & early morning hours; Partly Cloudy; Lows in the upper 60s.

 

Saturday - 60% Showers/storms; Mostly Sunny; Highs in the upper 80s.

Saturday Night - 60% Showers/storms between evening & early morning hours; Partly Cloudy; Lows in the upper 60s.

 

Sunday - 50% Showers/storms; Mostly Sunny; Highs in the mid to upper 80s.

Sunday Night - 30% Showers/storms; Partly Cloudy; Lows in the mid 60s.

 

I will be back tomorrow with a little more detailed blog & also with an updated forecast for your weekend, as rain/storm chances continue to change.

 

Thank you all for continuing to follow these blogs!

 

-Crystal

Email: crystal@shorelinestations.com

 

 

 

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Thursday August 6, 2020

Thanks for joining me for another blog on this beautiful Thursday afternoon, this will be short & sweet as we look at your forecast for the weekend and into next week. If you  have any weekend plans, it looks like the weather will be in your favor. Let's have a look below:

 

Today / Tonight - We will continue to see partly to mostly sunny skies for the remainder of the afternoon across the local area. Today's highs will top around 84. Tonight it will be partly cloudy with lows around the lower 60s.

 

Friday / Friday Night - For your end of the week it looks like another beautiful day once we get over the morning fog. By afternoon we will see mostly sunny skies and highs around the mid 80s. It'll be partly cloudy by Friday night with lows around the low 60s.

 

Saturday / Saturday Night - To kick off your weekend on Saturday it will be sunny and warmer. Highs will be around the upper 80s. Saturday night it'll be mostly clear with lows around the mid 60s.

 

Sunday / Sunday Night - Rain chances move back into the forecast on Sunday, only about a 20-30% chance and that is more for the latter part of the afternoon. Highs will be in the upper 80s to low 90s. That slight chance of rain will continue into Sunday night with mostly clear skies and lows in the upper 60s.

 

Monday / Monday Night - Rain chances continue into the new week with a 30% chance in the afternoon with mostly sunny skies and highs around the low 90s. Monday night we will continue to see that 30% chance of showers. Otherwise it will be partly cloudy with lows around the upper 60s to low 70s.

 

Tuesday / Tuesday Night - Rain/storm chance increases to 50% with partly sunny skies, highs around the upper 80s to low 90s. For Tuesday night it will be partly cloudy along witha 30% chance of showers and lows around the upper 60s to low 70s.

 

My next blog will be on Monday since the weather will be calm throughout the weekend. If there are any major changes I will post one over the weekend.

 

As always, I appreciate you taking time out of your day to stop and read my blogs & I hope you continue to enjoy them!

 

If you have any questions, comments, or feedback feel free to shoot me an email @ crystal@shorelinestations.com

 

Have a great weekend!

 

-Crystal

 

 

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Tuesday August 4, 2020

It's another beautiful day across The Buck listening area on this Tuesday!

 

This will be short and sweet blog today since yesterday's was a lengthy one. Let's take a look at the forecast for the remainder of the week into the weekend:

 

Today / Tonight - For the rest of the afternoon we will continue to see partly cloudy to partly sunny conditions with a 20-30% chance of seeing a scattered shower or storm. Todays high temp will top around 80. For tonight, that small chance of showers will continue into the evening, and overnight we will see partly cloudy skies with lows around 60.

 

Wednesday / Wednesday Night - Looking into midweek, we should expect partly sunny skies with highs in the low 80s. By night, it will be partly cloudy and lows in the low 60s.

 

Thursday / Thursday Night - The forecast has changed slightly for Thursday, there is a slight chance, , 20-30%, of seeing a shower otherwise it will be mostly sunny and highs around the mid 80s. Thursday night that slight chance of showers will remain for the evening and overnight it will be mostly clear and lows around the low to mid 60s.

 

Friday / Friday Night - It's going to be a beautiful end to the week as we will see mostly sunny skies on Friday with highs in the upper 80s. Friday night it will be another mostly clear night with lows in the mid 60s.

 

Saturday / Saturday Night - A beautiful start to the weekend on Saturday with sunny skies and highs around 90. Saturday night clouds will increase a bit and lows will be around the mid to upper 60s.

 

Sunday / Sunday Night - As of now, for Sunday, it looks like a slight chance of showers (30%) moves back into the forecast for later in the afternoon, otherwise it will be mostly sunny with highs around 90 yet again. Sunday night we will continue to have that slight chance of showers/storms with partly cloudy skies and lows around the upper 60s to low 70s.

 

So all and all, not a bad forecast this week into the weekend. As always the forecast is subject to change and when it does I will be sure to do my best to update!

 

I will be back on Thursday with a new blog.

 

Feel free to email me with any suggestions @ crystal@shorelinestations.com

 

Have a great Tuesday!

 

-Crystal

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Monday August 3, 2020 Blog

Good Monday afternoon! I hope everyone had a wonderful weekend, & I just want to say thanks for all of you who have read and followed my blogs over the last week. The feedback has been great! If you have any feedback, see at the end for my email you can contact me at.

 

So far in my previous blogs, I have been able to share with you on how to better understand how the chance of precipitation is calculated. I have also been able to share a couple of definitions as well. Today I want to share something pretty basic, and that is differentiating between a WATCH and a WARNING.

 

Now there are multiple watches/warnings that can be issued from the NWS (National Weather Service), including: Severe Thunderstorm, Tornado, Flash Flood, Winter Storm, High Wind, Excessive Heat, and so on (you get the point). 

 

To simply explain the difference between a watch and a warning, it's like this:

 

WATCH - Be prepared!

WARNING - Take Action!

 

For example: You have just made it home to your family from work, you hear your NOAA Weather Radio/Local media alert, and it states there is a Severe Thunderstorm Watch effective for your area. So you know you need to be prepared as the chance for a Severe Thunderstorm Warning could be likely. So you now know you definitely need to stay alert and monitor your local media/NOAA Weather Radio for additional updates. So you are BEING PREPARED!

 

Time goes by, and you notice its getting darker outside, winds are picking up, you can hear thunder and then all of a sudden your weather radio/local media alerts you that a Severe Thunderstorm Warning is now in effect for your area. Hopefully you already have a plan in place on what you and your family needs to do during severe weather. If you have a plan in place then you act on it, whether its finding a more substantial structure to move to (especially if you live in a mobile home), taking shelter in a more sturdier part of your home, etc. By doing so you are TAKING ACTION!

 

Hopefully that helps in the understanding the difference between a Watch and a Warning. Be on the lookout for my future blogs this week to share what types of alerts can be issued by the NWS, and also how they go from a watch to a warning (what indicates the severeness?).

 

Now lets take a look at our forecast for the first full week of August! It looks to be a better looking forecast compared to last weeks; (Forecast is as of 11:00 AM today (8/3/2020) 

 

Today / Tonight - We will see plenty of sunshine today but we can't rule out a stray shower as there is only a 10% chance of rain. Looks like we will average in the mid to upper 80s for highs. Tonight we have a 20% chance of rain with partly cloudy skies. Tonights lows around the low 60s.

 

Tuesday / Tuesday Night - We will kick off Tuesday by seeing some areas of patchy morning fog. As the day goes on, rain chances increase to 40% with partly sunny skies. Highs will be around the upper 70s to low 80s. Tuesday  night looks to be about the same, 30% showers, partly cloudy with lows around 60.

 

Wednesday / Wednesday Night - Wednesday will be the first day of this week that there is no chance of rain. We will see partly sunny skies with highs around the low to mid 80s. Wednesday night looks to be mostly clear with lows around 60.

 

Thursday / Thursday Night - Another day without a chance of rain, it will be beautiful as mostly sunny skies are forecasted with highs in the mid 80s. Thursday night will be clear with lows around the lower 60s.

 

Friday / Friday Night - To end the week on Friday, it looks like it will continue to be beautiful & warmer, as we should see sunny skies and highs around the upper 80s. Friday night an increase in clouds will make for partly cloudy skies and lows will be around the mid 60s.

 

Weekend weather as of today, looks to be warming up as temps on Saturday & Sunday will average in the upper 80s, possibly hitting 90. We will have the chance of showers re-enter the forecast for the weekend, currently around 20% on Saturday & 40% for Sunday. Other than that it looks to be mostly sunny.

 

Disclaimer: The forecast is subject to change, when it does I will be sure to update as soon as I can.

 

That's it for today's blog! Don't forget to email me and let me know what you would like to see in my blogs! Hopefully soon, I will be able to incorporate some local weather photos.

 

Thanks again & I hope you have a wonderful Monday!

 

Email: crystal@shorelinestations.com

 

-Crystal

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Weekend Weather - 7/31/2020

I hope you have had a great Friday so far. This will be my last blog for the week, I don't think I will be doing any weekend blogs unless something major changes with our forecast.

 

With that being said, I do have an update in regards to the Flash Flood Watch that is in effect until Saturday, Aug. 1st at 8 AM EDT from NWS:

 

**Waves of showers and thunderstorms are expected tonight. Repeated heavy rainfall may result in flash flooding, especially in areas that has already seen rain from yesterday. Motorists should be prepared for rapidly reduced visibilities in heavy rainfall, and ponding/flooding of water on road surfaces. Keep in mind that areas that have already experienced recent heavy rains will flood more quickly with additional heavy rain.

 

Basically, it looks like July will end with some wet weather and the beginning of August looks to follow. Let's take a look at your forecast:

 

Tonight - As stated above, rain and storms will continue tonight as we have a 60% chance. Tonights lows will be around the upper 60s into the low 70s.

 

Sat. / Sat. Night - Showers & storms are likely, highs will be around the mid to uppers 80s, and the lows will average around the upper 60s.

 

Sun. / Sun. Night - Rain chances decrease down to around 20%, we will see partly sunny skies and highs will hang around the low to mid 80s. Same thing for Sunday night in regards to rain chances, very slim, lows will be in the low to mid 60s.

 

Mon. / Mon. Night - We should see some partly to mostly sunny skies with a slight chance of showers, highs around the mid 80s. Lows will be around the mid 60s.

 

Tues. / Tues. Night - Rain chances look to increase to around 40% in the latter part of the afternoon, otherwise it will be mostly sunny with highs around the low to mid 80s, and lows around the low 60s.

 

Be sure if you have any outdoor weekend plans, to keep that umbrella handy. 

 

Have a great rest of your Friday evening and have a great and safe weekend, I will be back with a new blog on Monday!

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Friday July 31, 2020 Blog

 

Good Friday morning! 

 

It looks like it will be a rainy end to the month of July & it looks like we will have a rainy beginning for the 1st of August tomorrow.

 

An update, the Flash Flood Watch that was supposed to expire this morning has been extended until tomorrow (Saturday) morning until 8 AM EDT.

 

Something I would like to talk about this morning, is the explanation of the chance of precipitation. It can be confusing and misunderstood by many so I just want to give you some clarification.

 

So for example, when you look at our forecast for today, it shows that we have a 40% chance of showers (mainly later on this afternoon) for most of our local area. So some may think, well it is going to rain 40% of the time this afternoon, which is a common thought. Here's what it actually means:

 

**To summarize, the Probability of Precipitation is simply a statistical probability of 0.01" inch or more of precipitation at a given area in the given forecast area in the time period specified. Using the 40% probability of rain as an example, it does not mean (1) that 40% of the area will be covered by precipitation at given time in the given forecast area or (2) that you will be seeing precipitation 40% of the time in the given forecast area for the given forecast time period.

 

**Let's look at an example of what the probability does mean. Above I mentioned today's forecast shows a 40% chance of rain for our local area, that means there is a 40% chance of rain at any point in the area from 1:00 PM EDT on into the latter part of the afternoon and into the evening.

 

**This point probability of precipitation is predetermined and arrived at by the forecaster by multiplying two factors:

 

               Forecaster certainty that precipitation will form or move into the area

                                                                X                                                                                                                            Areal coverage of precipitation that is expected

                     (and then moving the decimal point two places to the left)

 

**Using this, here are two examples giving the same statistical result:

 

         (1) If the forecaster was 80% certain that rain would develop but only expected to cover 50% of the forecast area, then the forecast would read "a 40% chance of rain" for any given location.

 

         (2) If the forecaster expected a widespread area of precipitation with 100% coverage to approach, but they were only 40% certain that it would reach the forecast area, this would, also, result in a "40% chance of rain" at any given location in the forecast area.

 

I know this blog was rather lengthy and definitely more informative than my previous ones, but hopefully you have a better understanding of how "chance of precipitation / probability of precipiation" is calculated and what it means.

 

I'll post another update later on this afternoon with a look at the forecase to kick off the month of August! hope you enjoyed this one & I will catch you back later!

 

-Crystal

 

email: crystal@shorelinestations.com

 

Source for info.: NWS 

 

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Flash Flood Watch Effective until Friday July 31, 2020

Since my blog post earlier, the NWS has issued a Flash Flood Watch to be in effect until Friday morning. See below for all the details:

 

 

A Flash Flood Watch is in effect locally for Boyle, Casey, Garrard, Green, Lincoln, Marion, Taylor, & Washington counties until Friday morning.

 

A low pressure system has brough widespread rain showers to the Lower Ohio Valley this morning, and as a semi-stationary front sets up near the Ohio River, additional storms and showers are expected to move along the front. This will likely result in training of showers and thunderstorms over the same areas. These areas will likely observe flooding conditions wih flash flooding possible due to the heavy rainfall rates expected.

 

A Flash Flood Watch means that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash Flooding is a very dangerous situation.

 

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take actions should flash flood warnings be issued.

 

As always we will have you up to date with the latest weather information here on 98.7 The Buck. Listen to us live online via our website, or via the Simple Radio app (its free!!). Also give us a like and follow on Facebook at Classic County 98.7 The Buck!

 

-Crystal

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Thursday July 30, 2020 Blog

 

Good Thursday afternoon!

 

It looks to be a rainy day across The Buck listening area as we have an 80-90% chance of seeing showers and some storms. The greatest chance of seeing these will be around 3:00 PM EST or later this afternoon into the evening. Tonight, that chance of showers and storms still remains around a 60% chance.

 

The greatest threat with these storms that do develop, will be very heavy rainfall. Some locations hat receive multiple rounds of very heavy rain could experience localized flash flooding. So we can't rule out seeing some Flood Advisories issued from the NWS.

 

Taking a somewhat quick glance into Friday through next week, we still have rain chances each day/night, ranging anywhere from a 30-70% chance. These would be more scattered. Widespread rainfall totals, as of today, looks to be forecasted totaling anywhere from 2-4" by the end of the weekend on Sunday. Again localized flooding could become an issue for areas that received repeated showers/storms.

 

Here are a few meanings in regards to flood watches/warnings/advisories, so you can differentiate between them: (Source: NWS)

 

-Flood Advisory - BE AWARE! - means river or stream flows are elevated, or ponding or water in urban or other areas is occuring or is imminent.

 

-Flood Watch - BE PREPARED! - issued when conditions are favorable for a specific hazardous weather event to occur, such as flooding. It does NOT mean flooding will occur, but that it is possible.

 

-Flood Warning - TAKE ACTION! - issued when the hazardous weather event is imminent or already happening. 

 

- Flash Flood Warning - TAKE ACTION! - issued when a flash flood is imminen or occuring. If you are in a flood prone area, immediately move to higher ground. A flash flood is a sudden violent flood ha can take from minutes to hours to develop. It is even possible to experience a flash flood in areas not immediately receiving rain.

 

Lets take a quick look at the forecast:

 

Today - 80% Showers/storms; Highs around the lowers 80s.

Tonight - 60% Showers/storms; Cloudy; Lows around the upper 60s - low 70s; New rainfall amounts between 1/2 - 3/4" expected.

 

Friday - 70% Showers/storms; Cloudy; Highs around the low to mid 80s; New rainfall amounts between 1/10 - 1/4' expected, with higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Friday Night - 60% Showers/storms; Mostly Cloudy; Lows around the upper 60s; New rainfall amounts between 1/10 - 1/4" expected, with higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

 

Saturday - 60% Showers/storms; Mostly Cloudy; Highs around the low 80s; New rainfall amounts between 1/10 - 1/4" expected, with higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Saturday Night - 60% Showers/storms; Mostly Cloudy; Lows around the mid to uppers 60s; New rainfall amounts between 1/4 - 1/2" possible.

 

Sunday - 30% Showers/storm; Partly Sunny; Highs around the low to mid 80s.

Sunday Night - 30% Showers/storm; Partly Cloudy; Lows in the low to mid 60s.

 

Keep an eye out, as I could possibly be posting another blog if we do start seeing the increased chance of localized flooding issues over the next day or so.

 

Again feel free to send me an email & let me know what you think or maybe what else you would like to see within these blogs. I appreciate every single one of you!

 

Email: crystal@shorelinestations.com 

 

 

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WEEK IN WEATHER 7/29/20

Good Wednesday Afternoon!

 

I hope you are having a great day & I'm glad you have joined me for my first official weather blog from The Buck Weather Center here on 98.7 The Buck! This is something new we are doing and I hope you will continue to join me on this journey as I help keep you informed with not only your latest weather updates, but also some informative and fun weather information. 

 

So I'll keep this first blog pretty simple as I share a couple of definitions so you can better understand as well as going over a look at your forecast for the remainder of the week and into the weekend.

 

Hazardous Weather Outlook (HWO) - a weather statement issued to provide information of potential severe weather events within the next seven days. The outlook may include information about potential severe thunderstorms, heavy rain or flooding, winter weather, extreme temperatures, and so on.

 

Let's take a look at the forecast:

 

Today/Tonight - For the rest of this afternoon into tonight, it looks as if we still have a chance of seeing some isolated showers and storms. The main threat with these storms will be cloud to ground lightning but keep in mind locally heavy rainfall cannot be ruled out. Today's high temps will top around 89-90 and tonights lows will be around the low 70s.

 

Thursday/Thursday Night - We will start off with some patchy morning fog and as the day goes on we will see some scatter showers and storms. Rain & storm chances will hang around 80-90% for our area. Thursday highs will be in the lower 80s and the lows will be in the upper 60s. Same story for Thursday night as we will continue to see the chance for showers & storms.

 

Friday/Friday Night - Rain & storm chances will continue to hang around with them being around 70-80%. Other than seeing that we will have mostly cloudy skies and highs will hang around the lower 80s. Friday night lows will be in the upper 60s, along with a 60% chance of more showers & storms for parts of the area.

 

Saturday/Saturday Night - I feel like I'm a broken record saying we will continue to see a 60% chance of seeing scattered showers & storms for Saturday. Saturday high temps will hang around the lower 80s yet again. Saturday night, yet again, 60% chance of showers & storms, low temps will continue to hang around the upper 60s.

 

Sunday/Sunday Night - It looks like we will end the weekend about like how we start it by having a 50% chance of showers and storms, other than that it will be partly sunny and highs will be in the low 80s. Sunday night rain chances decrease down to 30% and lows will be a bit cooler in the mid 60s.

 

Of course I will put my disclaimer, stating that the forecast is subject to change and when it does, I will do my best to update that here in my blog.

 

I hope this turns out to be a helpful, informative, & also a good thing! Be sure to let me know what you would like to see in my blogs by sending me an email at crystal@shorelinestations.com! I'd love to get your feedback!

 

Also if you don't already listen in, you can catch me on 98.7 every Monday - Friday from 1 PM to 6 PM for your afternoon ride!

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