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Weather

Good Tuesday evening ya'll, a little bit later than usual on this blog but let's jump right into it and have a talk about the snow chances for Christmas Eve into Christmas for our local area.

 

***Models & Model Data***

First things first though, many of you have social media & may even be sharing the model graphics around in regards to snow accumulations. Please keep in mind that there are multiple models that are used, a few examples are GFS, NAM, & EURO models.

 

The data with each of these 3 are very different, for example, the GFS model shows a total snow amount of around 4" for our local area, the NAM model goes as far as to reflect snow totals around 5-6" for the local area, but the most realistic of these models is the EURO model which reflects snow totals of less than an inch in accumulation. In all actuality, we all know that snow is a little harder to forecast compared to storms, especially with precipitation totals.

 

New snow accumulations are expected to be anywhere from a dusting up to less than 1/2" possible, so all you snow lovers don't get your hopes too high unless your continuously doing your magical snow dance.

 

***Precipitation Timing***

As of this evening, we are forecasted around 70% of seeing some rain & snow showers for Christmas Eve. Let's take a look at the timing as this arctic front pushes through:

 

  • On Wednesday evening & into the overnight hours, we will see rain move into the area.
  • Rain will then transition to snow early Thursday morning & will continue throughout your Thursday afternoon.
  • The widespread snow showers will diminish overnight Thursday into early Friday morning, but we will see some off and on flurries through out Friday afternoon.

 

***Temperature Change On The Way***

Now since I have mentioned the timing of the rain & snow, let's talk below about the change in temperatures (both high temps & low temps), because there will be quiet a bit of change from tomorrow into Friday.

 

It will be a very mild day for tomorrow, even with the gusty winds, tomorrows high temperatures will hit around 60 degrees, so if you are able to get out and enjoy that be sure to do so. Tomorrow night low temps will range in the upper 30s.

 

For Christmas Eve on Thursday, high temps will drop around 20 degrees compared to tomorrow, Thursdays highs will be around 40. Low temps will take a dramatic dip into the low to mid TEENS! So if you haven't broken out the warm fuzzy blankets or turned the heat on, this will be the time to do so.

 

On Christmas Day, we will be lucky to see upper 20s for the high temperatures. Lows for Christmas will be back into the teens.

 

***Detailed/Extended Forecast***

Let's go ahead & take a more detailed look at the forecase from tonight into the weekend (forecast is as of this evening):

 

Tonight - Mostly Clear; Lows in the low to mid 30s.

 

Wednesday - Increasing Clouds; Breezy with wind gusts up to 34 mph; 10% chance of scattered sprinkles in the evening; Highs around 60.

Wednesday Night - 100% Showers; Cloudy & Breezy with wind gusts around 33 mph; Lows in the mid to upper 30s

 

Christmas Eve - 70% Rain/Snow; Mostly Cloudy; Highs around 40; New snow accumulation of less than 1/2" possible.

Thursday Night - Slight chance of fluries; Mostly Cloudy; Lows in the low to mid teens.

 

Christmas Day - Mostly Sunny; Few flurries; Highs in the low to mid 20s.

Friday Night - Mostly Clear & Cold; Lows in the mid teens.

 

Saturday - Sunny; Highs in the mid to upper 40s.

Saturday Night - Mostly Clear; Lows in the upper 20s.

 

As always your forecast is subject to change, especially with snow in the mix, so when it does change I will do my best to update and post a new blog.

 

If you have any questions/comments/concerns, feel free to email me at crystal@shorelinestations.com

 

Have a great rest of your evening!

 

-Crystal